Politics — Political Economy

How Recession & Regional Conflicts Spark World Wars

Ukraine, Israel and possibly Taiwan

Martin Knapp
6 min readOct 13, 2023


image provided by shutter stock

I’m looking forward to the day when we can go back to talking about more entrepreneurial aspects of economics rather than large changes that are going to effect large amounts of people. One day we will get back there, but today is not that day.

On the whole, throughout history, more often than not, a great many of the larger wars — especially WWI and WWII, began because of widespread economic detriment. *I’ve been planning on writing this article for about two weeks now, however life took over. I’ve been pouring a lot on energy into a novel that I am halfway through writing… things happen.

Now, as I currently put the finishing touches on this article— Israel seems to be under attack now from the South, North and the East. It could be some opportunists, or it could be the opening salvo of a wider campaign. I mentioned in February in one of my articles that Israel was on my 2023 conflict list, you can read more about it here:

There are two internal obstacles going on, a very hardline Israeli government, and a widespread rumor of a Third Intifada, which will lead to a Palestinian uprising (among others). If this is the beginning of the 3rd Intifada, it could be why we are seeing uprisings across France over the next few days. Nothing happens in a vacuum.

With all that’s going on, it can be difficult to keep track of. This is the nature of the fog of war… crossed messages, propaganda (the kids call it fake news these days), and multiple competing agendas.

Putin seems to have settle in for a very long spell with Ukraine, and with the world immediately taking notice of the attack on Israel, it seems that we are sitting on a powder keg. All we need is a spark that causes wider conflict rather than a regional conflict.

Right now things are sounding a lot like the precursors to WWI. Of course the War in…



Martin Knapp

I write about economics, geopolitics, and conflict. Short posts on X @GeoPoliticaMK